The number of people infected with the new coronavirus is more than 6 times in one week, and experts from various countries predict the spread of damage, but China responded that `` the United States spread panic ''



On February 3, 2020, the number of new coronavirus cases confirmed in China exceeded 17,000. A week ago, on January 27, the number of infected cases was about 2,700, which means that the number of infected cases increased six-fold in just one week. Opinions have emerged regarding this situation, such as 'the World Health Organization (WHO) will issue a pandemic declaration soon' and 'the number of infected people will exceed 75,000.'

New Research Estimates 75,000 People in Wuhan Are Infected With Coronavirus

Wuhan Coronavirus Looks Increasingly Like a Pandemic, Experts Say-The New York Times

China to allow in US health experts as virus shows no sign of slowing-Reuters

According to the Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare's announcement dated February 3, 2020, there were 17,205 infected cases and 361 deaths in China. The number of infected people and deaths on January 27 was 2,744 and 80, respectively, so the number of infected people has increased about 6.3 times and the number of deaths has increased 4.5 times.

About the present situation of new type coronavirus infectious disease and correspondence of Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare (February 3, 1923 version)

Allen Chen, a professor at

Monash University 's Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, cited viremia , pneumonia , sepsis, and other complications as cases where a new coronavirus-infected person became ' severe .' Calculating from the number of people infected and fatal as of February 3, the fatality rate of the new coronavirus is about 2.1%, but Professor Chen states that the actual mortality rate is unknown.

Experts from various countries have published pessimistic predictions on the current status of the new coronavirus. According to Professor Gabriel Leon of the University of Hong Kong, analyzing the number of cases obtained by January 19, 2020 and the effects of quarantine in Wuhan and surrounding cities, `` The number of new coronavirus infections is 75,815. It is estimated. The results suggest that major cities in China are experiencing “ outbreaks ”.

Nowcasting and forecasting the potential domestic and international spread of the 2019-nCoV outbreak originating in Wuhan, China: a modeling study-The Lancet

Anthony Fauss, director of the

National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases in the United States, was one of the researchers who reported pessimistic predictions. 'The new coronavirus is very, very contagious, and will almost certainly be a pandemic,' Fush told the New York Times on February 2. Pandemic in Japan in the situation that is translated as a 'global pandemic', 'infection explosion', WHO is a 'new disease is prevalent in the world status' for the pandemic definition we are.

Regarding the outbreak of the new coronavirus, WHO had determined on January 22nd and 23rd that 'it was not an emergency,' but on January 31st, 'Public health emergencies of international concern.' it's situation ' declaration . At the time of writing, WHO has not determined that the new coronavirus epidemic deserves a pandemic. 'It is unlikely that a new coronavirus will be contained,' said Thomas Frieden, a former director of the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Following the WHO declaration of a public health emergency of international concern, the U.S. Department of State raised its travel alert level to the highest level on February 2, 2020, and banned travel to China. Has been launched.

China Travel Advisory

In response, WHO Director Tedros Adanom commented that `` no travel ban is required, '' and the Chinese Foreign Ministry said, `` While the WHO has called for circumvention of travel restrictions, the U.S. the discourse that come in are 'the announcement was. Again, the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs as 'imposed unnecessary / excessive restriction against China, contrary to the recommendations of the WHO,' 'spread to produce the incessantly panic' on February 3, answer to answer in , Korea, Japan, the United Kingdom, France, Turkey, and other countries that have assisted China in this emergency.

in Note, Posted by log1k_iy