What is the reason why 'AI does not deprive engineers' work from the past history'?



In recent years, the past I did not like also by the development of AI technology technology has been born, that it would be so that in the future a lot of people are deprived of job opportunities fear has been. Nathan Meerwold, CEO of Intellectual Ventures who deals with transactions using various patents, asserted that "as engineering persons comprehend the history of mathematics in the past, it is unlikely that engineers will be deprived of their jobs" He explained that reason.

What the History of Math Can Teach Us about the Future of AI - Scientific American Blog Network
https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/observations/what-the-history-of-math-can-teach-us-about-the-future-of-ai/

Due to the rapid development of AI technology in recent years, some economists warn that "by the year 2030 half of America's work will be robbed by AI." Also, in the research by North Eastern University, "It is estimated that 75% of people are deprived of jobs at AI", making people feel uneasy.

Mr. Meerwold says, "Looking at the history so far, changing the technology that changes the work of people is very time-consuming," and explained that "AI is no exception."

As I follow the history of automation in mathematics, the word "computer" was a synonym for work. Since the 1600's, people make calculations by themselves as computers using paper and pens to create accounting ledgers and the like. On the 1960s, a computing slide and a mechanical calculator appeared, and it began to be used at the site of labor. And as of 2018, smart watches like Apple Watch can calculate dozens of times faster than humans.



Looking at organizations like NASA, the number of programmers, mathematicians, and physicists has increased much more than those employed in the 1960s. Despite the fact that the computing capacity of modern computers has increased by a factor of 1 billion compared to that of the 1960 's, jobs are not replaced by computers, but there is a reality that human work is rather increasing.

Computers are specialized in calculations in specific fields, and complex calculations with many digits are easy to do. Thanks to this, we have been able to replace the "simple calculation work that does not change whatever you do" with a computer so far, and we were able to lower the workload of our work.

However, there are many problems in mathematics, and important calculations that affect the economy mostly take time to solve, even if you use the latest computers. In order to solve these problems, mathematicians and computer scientists are required to realize more efficient calculation methods and algorithms.



In other words, the greater the computing power, the greater the demand for solving the bigger problem and the number of engineers is needed. For this reason, Mr. Meerwold asserts that "people who confront problems that are technically difficult to solve will not lose their jobs."

Mr. Meerwold says "The same can be said about AI". Certainly AI is not a simple technique like pattern matching, it is a collection of complicated tasks, and AI as of 2018 has evolved to software that plays chess like superhuman. Of course, there is a present condition that it is difficult for people who have great talents to play chess at the same level as people AI.

On the other hand, many of the tasks that humans can perform, such as moving in response to rugged terrain and interpreting body language, are said to be difficult to achieve even in computers that will appear in the near future. While acknowledging that it is possible to fill the difference by improving the ability of AI, Mr. Meerwold said, "As the AI ​​evolves, the desire to automate new tasks has strengthened, and there are a number of jobs It will increase, "he said.

in Note, Posted by darkhorse_log