"Cardiovascular disease risk check" that can easily measure the probability of myocardial infarction and cerebral infarction in the next 10 years

The onset of adult diseases such as cancer, myocardial infarction, and stroke is thought to be deeply involved in lifestyle habits such as eating habits, exercise, smoking and drinking. Calculating myocardial infarction in this and the risk of developing cerebral infarction, which is a kind of stroke "Cardiovascular disease risk check"Was released by the group such as the National Cancer Research Center. The system is a collaborative research between national health centers nationwide, national cancer research center, National Cardiovascular Research Center, university, research institution, medical institution etc.Multipurpose cohort studyBased on the results of the survey, for example, it is easy to check "What is the incidence rate decreasing when quitting smoking?"

Cardiovascular disease risk check
http://www.fujita-hu.ac.jp/~deppub/risk.html


"Cardiovascular disease risk check" calculates the probability that a person who has not developed myocardial infarction or stroke so far in adults aged 40 to 69 years old develops myocardial infarction and cerebral infarction in the next 10 years A system to give.

Information to be entered at the time of measurement is as follows.

·age
·sex
· Oral antihypertensive drugs
Systolic blood pressure [maximum blood pressure] (mmHg)
· Treatment of diabetes
Blood glucose level (mg / dl)
· Current smoking habits
· HDL cholesterol (mg / dl)
LDL cholesterol (mg / dl)
· Neutral fat [triglyceride] (mg / dl)
Total cholesterol (mg / dl)


Enter these items and click "Calculate".


Then, the probability of developing myocardial infarction and the probability of developing cerebral infarction are displayed at the top of the screen.


For example, assuming a 50-year old male who is a smoker, when entering "average value of male in his 50s" in systolic blood pressure, blood sugar level, and cholesterol value, the probability of developing myocardial infarction is "4.1%", The probability of developing it is "2.6%".


Changing the smoking habit to "none" reduces the probability of developing myocardial infarction to "2.1%" and the probability of developing cerebral infarction to "1.8%".


If the systolic blood pressure, blood glucose level, cholesterol level is kept intact and returned to the smoking habit "Yes" and the age is changed to "60 years old", the probability of developing myocardial infarction is "6.7%" and the probability of developing cerebral infarction is It became "6.5%".


In this way, "Cardiovascular Disease Risk Check" makes it easy to check the incidence of myocardial infarction and cerebral infarction. The data used for the development of this system seems to have been obtained by tracking over 15,000 people living in 5 prefectures such as Ibaraki prefecture and Niigata prefecture for an average of 16 years.