Will the new coronavirus epidemic subside in summer? The view of the latest expert is like this



Since seasonal flu tends to end when the temperature rises in the spring, the new coronavirus infection (COVID-19) also says that 'the epidemic will subside if the temperature rises near summer'. Opinion has been reported. However, a research team at the University of Toronto, Canada, reported a research result that 'there is no relationship between the epidemic of COVID-19 and latitude / temperature'.

Impact of climate and public health interventions on the COVID-19 pandemic: A prospective cohort study | CMAJ

https://www.cmaj.ca/content/early/2020/05/08/cmaj.200920



Canadian study finds temperature, latitude not associated with COVID-19 spread | EurekAlert! Science News
https://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2020-05/cmaj-csf050720.php

New Study Indicates if Summer Weather Could Affect The Spread of COVID-19
https://www.sciencealert.com/study-says-summer-won-t-be-the-coronavirus-saviour-we-hoped-for

The newly published study is a comprehensive survey on “factors associated with the COVID-19 epidemic”. The research team collected a total of more than 376 million cases of COVID-19 cases from 144 countries and regions and compared the number of cases on March 20, 2020 with those on March 27, 2020. This attempted to identify the factors that influence the fashion. It should be noted that China, Italy, Iran, and South Korea were not included in the data collection because the COVID-19 epidemic was considered to have peaked.

As a result of the survey, latitude and temperature had little or no relation to the COVID-19 epidemic, and relative and absolute humidity had a weak negative association. On the other hand, public health measures such as prohibiting large-scale meetings, closing schools and limiting social distances have been strongly associated with the reduction of COVID-19 epidemics. In addition, in this survey, there is a limit to the accuracy of the data such as the difference in the test method for each country, the actual morbidity rate of COVID-19, and the degree of compliance with social distances, the research team notes. ..

'It is important for people to know that the COVID-19 epidemic will not be affected even in the summer,' said Dionne Haessing, a research team. 'The more public health measures, the slower the COVID-19 epidemic. These measures are the only ones that prevent the epidemic of COVID-19 and are very important. '



On the other hand, there are claims that the seasons indirectly influence the COVID-19 epidemic. Of the United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Robert Redfield 'If the outbreak of the epidemic season and COVID-19 of seasonal influenza are combined, the burden is further increased to the medical system,' director that has expressed the view , seasonal influenza He said the situation could be worse during the winter season.

in Science, Posted by darkhorse_log