Apr 24, 2020 14:32:00

About 14% of new coronavirus infections are expected, 14% more likely than expected, New York State test found mortality rate 0.5% lower than estimated

At a regular press conference by Governor Andrew Cuomo of New York State, preliminary results of an antibody response test against New York residents were announced, revealing that the percentage of those who have antibodies was 13.9%. Although the Governor says that it is a provisional value to the last, the actual number of infected people is more than 10 times as much as known from the comparison with the number of infected people confirmed so far, and the mortality rate is so far. It is pointed out that the possibility is lower than expected.

Governor Cuomo Announces DOH and Attorney General James to Investigate Nursing Home Violations-YouTube


Amid Ongoing COVID-19 Pandemic, Governor Cuomo Announces State Health Department Will Partner with Attorney General James to Investigate Nursing Home Violations | Governor Andrew M. Cuomo
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The survey was conducted over two days in 40 counties in 19 counties in New York. The survey location also included grocery stores and large stores, with 3000 of the target population randomly selected.

As a result, 13.9% of the people had an antibody reaction indicating that they were 'COVID-19 infected' or 'was infected.' The number of reported infections in New York State is more than 260,000 as of April 22, but if you apply the test results, the number of infected people is equivalent to 2.7 million, more than we know There may be an infected person.

The far greater number of confirmed cases is consistent with the results of a survey conducted in Los Angeles County.

A large-scale survey revealed that the actual number of people infected with the new coronavirus could exceed the officially confirmed number by several tens of times-GIGAZINE

If you divide the New York survey results into four areas, the highest value was 21.2% in New York City. Long Island is also high at 16.7%. On the other hand, West Chester County / Rockland County accounted for 11.7%, and other areas accounted for 3.6%.

Race-specific data is also available. Whites were 9.1% and Asians were 11.7%, while blacks, Latinos, Hispanics and others were more than 22%. Approximately 72% of victims in the United States are black, and journalists have pointed

out that the economic situation is affecting them.

This is data by age. I think that the value will be larger for older people, but 45-54 years old is the largest at 16.7%.

Based on the assumption that the number of infected people is more than 2.7 million, the number of deaths so far is 15,500, so the mortality rate will fall to about 0.5%.

Governor Cuomo says that the results were 'provisional' because the subjects surveyed were people who were out rather than randomly sampled from the entire state population. .