What is the "Lindy effect" that extends life span longer?

There is an end in the life span of a person, but in terms of the work, there is no theoretical life span. Here, the longer the longevity the longer the lifespan will extendLindy effect (Lindy effect)"The law is established.

Lindy effect - Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lindy_effect

In the case of animals including humans, the probability of death is high as soon as they are born, and draws like a bathtub that is lowest during adolescence and middle age. This phenomenon also applies to the machine failure rate "Bathtub curve"It is named the name.


A model that lives longer for a person's mortality rate in which a bathtub curve is established, the mortality rate decreases as surviving if surviving, and the life becomes easier to extend more and more is known as the "Lindy effect" . For example, as the exposure of an entertainer increases, the probability of receiving a request to appear afterwards increases, and it is an example of the Lindy effect that the position in the entertainment world will be strengthened.

The idea of ​​Lindy effect, in 1964 the writer'sAlbert GoldmanIt is the first time that he used in his book "Lindy's Law". "The comedians who appeared on television at the time were gathered at New York's restaurant Lindy's at night and consulted for survival," and he said the name was taken from the anecdote.

As Lindy effect works well, classical books can be mentioned. A classic masterpiece that has been inherited from old to old regardless of east and west such as Shakespeare's Hamlet, Confucius philosophy, Genji monogatari, etc. has not faded even after age, rather it makes his position stone and life is exhausted That's against you.

Speaking from "probability theory", there is also an idea that classics should be read without reading a new book, and the following movies call for reasons to read classics.

Why do I have to read old-age books that say classics? Lindy effect (video) (There is a manuscript in the overview section) (You can turn on subtitles) - YouTube


Even though it is a classic even though it is a classic, it was a "newcomer" and there is certainly also fun to read innumerable new books that may have semi-permanent life as a classic later, but to the end Speaking of probability theory, it seems that there is no doubt that class tour is efficient.