OpenAI CEO Sam Altman says super-intelligent AI could be achieved within a few thousand days



OpenAI CEO Sam Altman has published an article titled 'The Intelligence Age.' In predicting the future of humanity that will change with the emergence of AI, Altman said, 'Superintelligence may be born within a few thousand days.'

The Intelligence Age

https://ia.samaltman.com/



'In the coming decades, we will be able to do things that seemed like magic to our grandparents,' Altman wrote.

Altman said humans have become more capable not because of genetic changes, but because of the social infrastructure our ancestors built, and predicted that AI will help us solve problems that we could not solve alone.

Altman also said that in the near future, we will have access to AI that will enable us to accomplish far more than we could do without it, and that individuals will have teams of AI experts across different disciplines that will enable them to create almost anything they can imagine.

For example, Altman predicts that we will have AI tutors who can provide one-on-one instruction in any subject or language for our children, and that AI will be able to provide better medical care and develop all kinds of software.


by Village Global

Altman believes that the development of AI will bring shared prosperity to humanity, and that in the future, everyone's lives could be better than anyone else's today. 'Superintelligence (that exceeds human intelligence) could be born within a few thousand days. It may take longer, but I'm confident we can get there,' he said.

Behind this progress lies the success of deep learning, which can truly learn any data distribution, or the underlying 'rules' that create that data distribution, Altman said. As deep learning algorithms are given more computing power and more data, they become better able to help people solve difficult problems, but it's hard to fully understand how significant this is, Altman said.



'Technology took us from the Stone Age to the Agrarian Age to the Industrial Age. Now it's computing, energy, and human will that will pave the way for the Intelligence Age,' Altman said. 'To get AI to as many people as possible, we need to bring down the cost of computing to perform huge numbers of calculations, which requires a lot of energy and chips. If we don't build enough infrastructure, AI will become a very limited resource that will be fought over in wars and will become a tool for the wealthy.'

However, Altman also noted the challenges that AI brings.

'The development of AI is likely to bring about significant changes to the labor market over the next few years,' Altman predicted, but added that 'changes to work will likely occur more slowly than we think.' He emphasized that the development of AI poses complex and highly risky challenges, and that we need to start working now to maximize the benefits of AI while minimizing its harms.

'Much of the work we do today would have seemed like an inconsequential waste of time to people a few hundred years ago,' Altman said. 'But no one looks back and wishes they had been the lamplighter. If a lamplighter looked at the world today, he would find the prosperity around him unimaginable. And 100 years from now, the prosperity around us will seem just as unimaginable.'

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