What are the 16 futures forecasted by Microsoft researchers such as artificial intelligence, data science, encryption?

ByProvince of British Columbia

It is very difficult to imagine what information technology is going through a couple of years, but researchers at Microsoft think about the progress of technology in 2016 and from the next ten years from now Was revealed.

From AI and data science to cryptography: Microsoft researchers offer 16 predictions for '16 | News Center
https://news.microsoft.com/features/from-ai-and-data-science-to-cryptography-microsoft-researchers-offer-16-predictions-for-16/


What is the prepared question "What is likely to make a dramatic progress in 2016?" "What is going to make progress in the decade until 2026, that is likely to affect people's computing experience "What year is it going to be in 2016?", Researchers answer what is applicable in their field.

◆Chris BishopMr
Mr. Bishop's prediction, which is also a professor of computer science at Edinburgh University, said that in 2016 the new silicon structure seems to enhance the main performance of the GPU. Also, by 2026, when translating European languages, high-quality machine translation results at the level translated by humans can be obtained and language barrier will be lost.

In 2016, it is the year of "New App for Mobile Phone 3D Camera", we expect smartphones to have more power.

◆Doug BurgerMr
Mr. Berger, the director of hardware, devices and experiences, succeeded in specialized compute acceleration on the cloud, which enables massive increases in processing of big data, bioinformatics, high-performance computing Predicted. Also, by 2026 I also predicted that the program (software) could partly leave hardware von Neumann type computer that is independent of hardware.

2016 is "FPGAReconfigurable computing like that is the main stream of data centers as the best compute accelerator. "

◆Bill BuxtonMr
Mr. Buxton, a pioneer of HCI (human-computer interaction), predicts that the standing position of digital devices like the stylus will settle and people will begin to look towards maximizing people's potential . In 2016, the era of "planning to make cheap digital gadgets obsolete" will cease, and the eyes of industry and consumers will shift from technology to human experience, value and potential.

◆Lily ChenMr
Mr. Chen, who is also the manager of the Future Social Experience Research Institute (FUSE), notes the interactions that are done online, predicts that more conversation can be laughed and more productive by the conversation assistant. We also anticipate that children will learn how to code everyday experiences so that computers can better support our lives in the future.

In the future, children will work in virtual instead of working somewhere in the job at work, we will rethink their way of working, city planning, neighborhood and district community design It will be.

◆Kate CrawfordMr
Mr. Crawford who specializes in data science and the like seems to want people to demand that artificial intelligence (AI) becomes more realistic, ethical and legal relationship like doctors, lawyers, therapists It is predicted that it will become.

In 2016 it is said that a proper legal protection procedure will be established in the big data system affecting health care, housing supply and employment.

◆Lee DengMr
Mr. Den, a machine learning expert such as deep learning, has dramatically advanced natural language processing based on deep learning, and in the decade until 2026, AI has been working on several areas such as speech, visual and cognitive functions Predicted that it will be able to demonstrate human-level abilities at the time.

In 2016 "People in the everyday life will use AI" as well.

ByGlobal Panorama

◆Jasmine · FischerMr
Mr. Fischer's forecast dealing with "executable biology" is that in the field of health and welfare, use of innovative technologies aiming to prolong survival and symptoms of patients with intractable diseases is started. Furthermore, in the next decade, a revolutionary approach that spans researchers and clinicians about individual cases of cancer patients, a cross-field approach appears, and the mystery of cancer is revealed I also predict it.

Mr. Fischer seems to think that in 2016 "the potential of cloud platform technology that can change patient's life will be known".

◆Hong Shao WenMr
Mr. Hong, vice president of Microsoft Research Asia, said Microsoft is currently developing"HoloLens" to project a hologram in real spaceI predicted it would be commonplace.

In 2016 video delivery on the web crosses the television broadcast, people in China think that they will see the Olympic Games on the net, not on TV, "Project Oxford"Video processing technology such as" The video processing on the cloud will be done smarter.

A tool has already appeared that quantifies the emotions of people reflected in the picture.

Microsoft official tool that reads human emotions from images and quantifies them - GIGAZINE


◆Eric HorwitzMr
Mr. Horwitz is a Technical Fellow at Microsoft Research. AI predicts that it will be able to talk more naturally and more efficiently than ever, and will help great scientific progress in areas such as energy, biology and medicine.

According to Personal Assistant understanding that 2016 is "People's important concern" such as "work conventions", it is a year that will become useful more than ever.

Microsoft develops and provides "Cortana" as a personal assistant.

Siri-like "Cortana" made by Microsoft is also available in Japan - GIGAZINE


◆Lucas JopperMr
Stellar environmental monitoring is progressing with low power consumption, long distance, inexpensive sensors and wireless, and by 2026 the situation of the earth can be provided on a digital dashboard without interruption, Mr. Jopper.

In 2016, the world knows the potential of technology that can change the way to monitor and manage the earth by avoiding the sixth extinction period.

◆Brian RamacchiaMr
Ramakkia, who is familiar with encryption technology, advanced end-to-end encrypted TLS communication using a multiprotocol public key algorithm for both key exchange and digital signature, and in the next 15 years all public key cryptosystems are resistant to quantum cryptography It is necessary to change to become, and we predict that the first step is tolerance TLS. Hopefully, in 2026 the tolerance quantum cryptography spread, and it seems that the old encryption method that was left behind is supposed to be highly criticized.

As a preliminary step in 2016, it is said that a security-related community will start planning a transition to withstanding quantum cryptography.

◆Preston McAfeeMr
Economists are bothering me about the slow recovery of current productivity compared to the past economic recovery, but McAfee says the answer will come out in 2016.

Optimistically in 2016, it is the year that "Silver Valley starts to understand that Uber's value is not on its data but on the market", but McAfee expects the "big data bubble" to continue doing.

◆Slim RajamaniMr
Mr. Rajamani said that even though OS and other infrastructure would be at risk, security would be guaranteed, but the hacker and system vendor will continue to struggle.

2016 is "Intel SGX (Intel Software Guard Extensions)"A new era of security solutions based on trusted hardware will appear on the market, such as, and it will be years to change the idea of ​​security."

◆Krista SvolaMr
The confirmation and proof of topological (topology) qubits will be a dramatic advance in technology in quantum computing, Mr. Svora said. In 2026 I expect to be able to connect to the quantum computer via the cloud when I encounter problems that I can not solve with the current "classic" computers.

2016 is "LIQUi |> (Language-Integrated Quantum Operations)By programming with, we will have the quest and development of new quantum algorithms in the real world, and more people will be looking into quantum mechanics. "

◆Chandu SekasMr
Mr. Sekas, Managing Director of Microsoft Research India,We used free bandwidth of TVWith cheap access technology and affordable mobile terminals more internet in India is spreading and by 2026 all Indians expect to have a mobile terminal with a rich spectrum available.

In 2016, "The year that the environment that connects to the net can be connected in Indian rural areas spreads and most of India comes online".

◆Janet WinMr
Mr. Wyn, corporate vice president of Microsoft Research, expects that human beings will be able to program live cells by 2026.

2016 will be the year the presidential candidate will debate about the role of encrypted communication in the conflict between "the need for national security by the government" and "the necessity for protection of personal information by companies" It is that.