Sep 24, 2022 22:00:00

Geopolitician's comment that `` deglobalization advances and the golden age ends ''

In June 2022, the book '

The End of the World is just the Beginning ' was released by American geopolitical scientist Peter Zeihan. . Zeihan comments on this book, which looks at the world from six perspectives: transportation, finance, energy, materials, manufacturing, and agriculture.

Four Guideposts for the End of the World | Legacy Research Group
https://www.legacyresearch.com/the-daily-cut/four-guideposts-for-the-end-of-the-world/

The End of the World is Just The Beginning Maps - Zeihan on Geopolitics
https://zeihan.com/end-of-the-world-maps/

Zeihan predicts that the 2020s will see a collapse in consumption, production, investment and trade in most parts of the world as globalization collapses. Zeihan argues that this makes people's lives more difficult, slows development and worsens. It is pointed out that the birth rate is also declining in each country.

Zeihan argues that a new world will arrive in which countries and regions will have to make their own goods, grow their own food, secure their own energy, fight their own battles, and do everything in a shrinking and aging population. something like.

Next, Mr. Zeihan said, 'Almost all manufacturing and logistics processes, regardless of trade or product, span at least two countries. Like smartphone chip manufacturing, there are hundreds of materials and processes that span global supply chains. In today's chaotic world, this way of doing things just doesn't work.'

Mr. Zeihan says that 'waterways' are indispensable for the development of cities. 'Ancient Egyptian cities prospered because they were a perfect blend of water and desert buffers. During the 15th and 16th centuries Spain and Portugal rose to prominence not only because they mastered the art of ocean navigation. , because it was located on a peninsula, thus freeing it from the melee of the rest of the European continent.”

“The large-scale application of coal, concrete, rail and rebar requires a lot of capital. Only countries with abundant navigable waterways to generate capital can finance this development,” said Zeihan. Germany has more waterways than any other country in Europe, so its rise as an industrial power was inevitable.'

However, he also said, ``As technology evolves, winners and losers change.'' ``The industrial revolution that began in England in the 18th century turned the once-powerful country of Spain into a backwater, heralding the birth of the British Empire. The fall of Germany in World War II was inevitable, because Americans have more wealth than anyone else in the world.' He said that such movements are similar to the upcoming global turmoil and demographic collapse that will occur in many countries.

Zeihan also argues that 'America can escape the worst effects of global upheaval and degradation.' ``Americans have survived and prospered because of their geographic isolation from most of the world and their younger population than China and Europe,'' he argued, and economic inequality is growing. In the United States, he insisted, he could do well.