'Intuition' is a time to believe and a time which should not be believed, what are the three conditions that 'the time to believe' meets?

by rawpixel.com

Daniel Kerneman , one of the founders of Behavioral Economics and also known in the field of Happiness Research, was a person who received the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2002. Mr. Kerneman, who has made many presentations on decision making and cognitive bias, explains the difference between what he trusts and what he should not trust, among the decisions made by "intuition".

Daniel Kahneman: Your Intuition Is Wrong, Unless These 3 Conditions Are Met | ThinkAdvisor
https://www.thinkadvisor.com/2018/11/16/daniel-kahneman-do-not-trust-your-intuition-even-f/

At the World Business Forum in New York, Mr. Kerneman explained "When people can make their own intuitive judgment" and "When to be cautious for intuitive judgment". According to Mr. Kahaneman, the definition of "intuition" is "I do not know why I know it but I know it." Because it is not based on statistics, intuition can be right or wrong if it follows this definition.

Intuition is often wrong. Mr. Kerneman says he conducted an experiment that the subject predicted the GPA of the university of the person named "Julie". Mr. Kerneman tells the examinees that only Julie read the book carefully since he was young and then asked him how much the jury was a good student. As a result, many subjects evaluated Julie's GPA as 3.7.

by AdinaVoicu

"This answer may be considered a" good answer ", but in fact it is the worst answer.The answer was a perfect mistake in intuition.As I made statistical evaluation I got a completely different evaluation Today people were given information about the students what will happen twenty years later, "Kerneman says," This is a great self-confidence in the intuition that is automatically issued, It is an example showing that it is statistically wrong ".

Normally, confidence is not an indication of accuracy. However, there are cases where intuition is correct. Mr. Kerneman says that intuition that a skilled chess player gains when he sees the board, or intuition that a married person guesses his mood with a single word he or she gave out over the phone, is often correct I will explain. There are "Case that can trust intuition" and "Case where I can not trust intuition", and it is said that the following three conditions are included in the trustworthy case.

1: There must be objective and learnable regularity
2: having experienced many times so far
3: Feedback is instantly obtained as to whether the intuition was correct or wrong

by rawpixel

If all of the above three conditions are satisfied, it is possible for a person to master "intuition". However. As long as these three conditions are not met, no matter how confident we are, the correctness of that intuition is not guaranteed.