"IT road map" which predicted the progress of Web technology until 2010

Nomura Research Institute predicted the progress of Web technology by 2010.

In short, the importance of rich client technology using Web API, Flash, AJAX, etc., among other trends such as Web 2.0 and SOA, will become more important, and it will be a general technology around 2009."IT road map" predicting the progress of web technology until 2010 is announced ~ Rich client indispensable for the arrival of Web 2.0 / SOA era ~
http://www.nri.co.jp/news/2006/060518.html

I feel that it will be standardized at once from the time of the next Windows Vista appearance, so I think that 2007 will become a general level, but how is it?