2023 has a 90% chance of being the hottest year since 1850
Many people have experienced firsthand that the summer of 2023 will be hot, but data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) shows that there is a 90% chance that 2023 will be the hottest year since 1850. It is thought that there is a high possibility that we will soon meet the global warming target set by
Earth's average 2023 temperature is now likely to reach 1.5 °C of warming
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-02995-7
At the 21st Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (COP21) held in December 2015, efforts were made to keep the global average temperature rise well below 2℃ compared to pre-industrial revolution levels and to continue efforts to limit it to 1.5℃. The Paris Agreement was adopted.
However, despite the efforts of various countries, NASA reports that July 2023 became the ``
In its monthly report for August 2023, the climate monitoring nonprofit Berkeley Earth points out that there is a 55% chance that the average temperature increase in 2023 will reach 1.5 degrees Celsius. In the 2022 report, it was less than 1%, and based on July 2023 data, it was 20%, but the value is even higher.
Robert Rohde, Principal Scientist at Berkeley Earth, said: ``2023 unfolded in a very unusual way. I admit I was surprised. I didn't expect August to be this warm.'' 'I did.'
According to Mr. Rohde, in 2023, the amount of sand supplied from the Sahara Desert to the Atlantic Ocean was extremely small, which caused the water temperature in the Atlantic Ocean to rise.
NOAA agrees with Berkeley Earth that August 2023 was the hottest August on record. Furthermore, although it cannot be said that the much-worried ``1.5℃ global warming'' will occur in 2023, it is estimated that the probability that 2023 will be the hottest year since 1850 is over 90%.
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in Note, Posted by logc_nt