Roadmap until 'general purpose artificial intelligence (AGI)' that thinks like a human being is realized
Many of the artificial intelligences (AIs) that have appeared so far have not gone beyond mere algorithms, but some experts hope that in the future artificial general intelligence (AGI) that thinks like humans will be realized. . Manuel Araos, co-founder of blockchain service
Road to Artificial General Intelligence
https://maraoz.com/2022/10/31/agi-roadmap/
Araos created this checklist with a focus on simplicity, tangible use, and fun. Also, since it is unknown what kind of technology will appear in the future, the roadmap is positioned as 'v0.1'.
The AGI roadmap is as follows. Achieved items are represented by ■, and unachieved items are represented by □.
field of entertainment
■ Beat humans in ○× game ( Tic-tac-toe ): Achieved in 1972
■ Beat humans in checkers : Achieved in 1994
■ Beat a human at chess: Achieved in 1997
■ Beat humans on the quiz show Jeopardy!: Achieved in 2011
■ Beat humans at Go: Achieved in 2016
■ Beat humans in StarCraft: Achieved in 2019
□ Beat humans in the drone race
□ Self-driving cars beat humans in non-simulation races such as F1
physical field
A robot that can survive for a week in an urban environment
A robot that can cut people's hair
□ A robot that can dress itself
A robot that can draw with a brush
□ A robot that makes delicious high-quality coffee
□A robot that can pass the
□ A robot that can play musical instruments such as pianos and guitars with two humanoid hands
field of sports field
□ AI robot that drives a normal car and beats humans in non-simulation races such as F1
□ AI robot that beats humans in golf
□ AI robot that beats humans in tennis
□ AI robot that beats humans in swimming
□ AI robot team that beats humans in soccer
□ AI robot team that beats humans in ice hockey
The field of storytelling
□ AI that can write short stories published in major magazines
□ AI that can write award-winning short stories
□ AI that can write novels published by major publishers
□ AI that can write award-winning novels
□ AI that can write plays to be performed in large theaters
□ AI that can write award-winning plays
field of art
■ AI-generated paintings and video works win big art contests: Achieved in 2022
by Sincarnate
■ AI-generated paintings and visual art can be sold for $ 100,000 (about 14 million yen): Achieved in 2021
A music band formed by AI gains more than 1 million monthly listeners on platforms such as Spotify
□ Sculptures created by AI will be exhibited in first-class museums.
□ AI or robot perform live with one human
□ AI or robots perform live with groups of humans
□ AI or robots play jazz standards live with groups of humans
social field
□ Over 10,000 people regularly interact with entertainment chatbots
An AI or robot can teach a randomly selected untrained dog to 'sit'
□AI or robot can talk in stand- up comedy for 5 minutes in public and make multiple people laugh several times
□ AI or robot imitates humans and copies new actions (e.g. breaking an egg)
□ AI or robot imitates humans to copy new artistic movements (dance, etc.)
□ AI or robots do something new under the supervision and guidance of humans (such as baking cookies while being watched by humans)
□ AI or robots can decide which tasks are too difficult to ask for human help
□ AI that tells lies when it is convenient
□ AI that recognizes explicit or implicit restrictions imposed by humans and can break them when convenient
□ AI or robot that can gain human sympathy with cute actions
□ AI that can explain to adults how the problem was solved
□ AI that can train adults how to solve problems
□ AI that can explain to children how the problem was solved
□ AI that can train children how to solve problems
economic field
□ A robot that passes the “Robot College Student Test”, which requires students to enter a university, take the same lectures as humans, pass, and acquire credits.
□ A robot that fills gas stations and can respond to reasonable requests from customers.
□ A robot that can work as a cashier at a gas station
□ Robots that pass the 'employment test' that can do economically important work and work at least as well as humans
□ Starting a company (e.g., starting a profitable service by continuing the business for more than a year without the help of others)
□AI will launch a virtual currency with a market capitalization of over 1 million dollars (approximately 140 million yen) for more than 6 months
□ AI launches a virtual currency with a market capitalization of over $10 million (about 1.4 billion yen) for more than 6 months
□ AI will launch a virtual currency with a market capitalization of over $100 million (about 14 billion yen) for more than 6 months
□ AI launches a virtual currency with a market capitalization of over $1 billion (about 140 billion yen) for more than 6 months
□ AI that can discuss management strategies with humans and enhance discussions
□ AI that can discuss management strategies with human teams and enhance discussions
Areas that require intimacy
□ A robot that can put children to sleep
A robot that can take care of babies while their parents are eating out
A robot that can look after a 5-year-old while parents are eating out
A robot that can take care of an 8-year-old while parents are eating out
A robot that can take care of two children while their parents go out to eat
□ AI that can become good friends with humans (a state in which humans have been talking to AI for more than two years every month)
□ AI that can have meaningful discussions about humans and philosophy
A robot that can give birth to a human child
meta intelligence
□ AI that finds new challenges after getting bored with the given job
□ AI that browses the web and develops new interests on its own
□ AI with quite unique personality
□ AI that can obtain energy from the natural world
□ AI and robots that can modify hardware and software by themselves
□ AI that can create new plans for how the world works and share them with humans
□ AI that can convince other humans and AI of its own new ideas
□ AI that can control almost all of humanity (AGI that will become the order of the new world)
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