Not all failures lead to success What is “failure to succeed”?


by Artem Beliaikin

There is a saying that “ failure is the mother of success ”, but it is also true that not all failures lead to success. So what is a “failure that leads to success”? That is gradually becoming clear from scientific research using big data.

Quantifying the dynamics of failure across science, startups and security | Nature
(PDF file) https://www.nature.com/

Failure Found to Be an 'Essential Prerequisite' for Success-Scientific American
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/failure-found-to-be-an-essential-prerequisite-for-success/

To clarify the “requirements for success”, Dashun Wang and his team at Northwestern University and the team received 777,672 grants submitted to the National Institutes of Health (NIH) between 1985 and 2015. Analyzed the gold application. In addition, in order to improve the accuracy of mathematical models, in addition to this, data on 46 years of investment in startups of venture capital and data on terrorist attacks made from 1970 to 2017 were also analyzed.

The results showed that “all winners were first losers”, but at the same time, not all losers were winners. The interesting thing we found in the survey was that both the final winner and the loser were trying to achieve the same number of goals. However, I knew that the action of “challenge many times” would only see the eyes of the day when the challenger “learned from failure”.

“The challenger has to understand what works and what does n’t work, and focus on what is needed for improvement. Go around the floor and change everything. People who end up failing do not necessarily have a lot of effort, but rather a lot of effort, they just make unnecessary changes. '

by siriwan arunsiriwattana

The research team attempted to identify predictors of cases that ultimately ended in success and cases that failed. As a result, the first factor is 'failure-to-failure interval'. If failure is repeated early, the possibility of success increases, and conversely, the greater the sense of trial and trial, the higher the possibility of failure again. “If a person who applied for a grant has failed three times, we can predict the final success by looking at the interval between failures,” Wang says.

Analyzing large data from three groups, the average number of successful failures was 2.03 for those applying for grants, 1.5 for startups, and 3.9 for terrorists. Data analysis also shows that the three groups have a common critical point: whether they are in the progress area or the stagnation area. This means that, at first glance, even two people who are in the same state in strategy and others will depend on whether they are in the progress area or the stagnation area. The existence of such inflection points adds new explanations to the areas that have been described in terms of “luck” and “work habits”.

by Jude Beck

The study showed that the key to success is how to fail, how to deal with failure, and how to connect failure. In scientific research, the role of failure in success is not yet fully understood, and Wang's research results are reputed to rewrite the understanding of “success” and provide a mathematical and conceptual framework.

in Note, Posted by logq_fa